Montana Climate Matters: Drought, Warming, and Uncertainty in Seasonal Forecasts

By Kelsey Jencso

Record-breaking January and February temperatures, early snowmelt, thawed soils across the plains, rain-on-snow flooding, and earlier-than-normal streamflow peaks have producers, water managers, and firefighters concerned about the rest of the year. Their concerns highlight an important gap between what we know with high confidence about Montana’s changing climate and what we can predict in any given season.

The current US Drought Monitor shows approximately 86% of Montana in drought, with 32% experiencing severe to extreme drought. Given current conditions, I expect areas of...

 
 
 
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